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Recently, institutional funds have been pouring into the crypto market. Although BTC and ETH are maintaining a sideways fluctuation, analysis shows that the market is building momentum. The Chaos Index indicates that the current situation is a fluctuating market. Short-term strategies can be executed using mean reversion strategies like Bollinger Bands to achieve small profits. Overall, the current market does not have a clear trend, and operations should be conducted with caution.

On June 19, an article signed by the Shenzhen Intermediate People's Court and published in the "People's Court Daily" provided a clear "Chinese solution" for how China should handle the tricky issue of virtual money involved in cases. The "dual-track mechanism" proposed in the article—namely, cashing out on compliant platforms overseas, or destroying specific high-risk assets via a Burn Address—officially established the property attributes of virtual money and built a pragmatic bridge between strict regulation and judicial practice.
Property Attributes: From Legal Ambiguity to Judicial Consensus
For a long time, the legal status of Virtual Money in China has been controversial. The "Document No. 237" from 2021 clearly states that it does not have the status of legal tender and classifies related activities as illegal financial activities. However, judicial practice faces an unavoidable reality: how to handle the large amounts of Virtual Money seized in criminal cases to achieve the goals of compensating victims or surrendering to the national treasury?
The article clearly states

According to the latest report from The Block, Bitcoin network transaction activity has fallen to its lowest level in 18 months, with the 7-day moving average transaction volume reaching 316,000 last week, a drop of over 50% from the peak of 700,000 daily transactions in mid-2024.
Despite a slight recovery in recent trading volume to around 350,000 transactions, this figure is still well below market expectations, reflecting that the on-chain ecosystem of Bitcoin is experiencing a significant cooling.
Runes and Ordinals: From Hype to Silence
The sharp decline in volume is largely attributed to the waning enthusiasm for the Bitcoin native protocols Runes and Ordinals. In the spring of 2024, these two protocols had ignited market enthusiasm, leveraging the unique mechanisms of the Bitcoin blockchain to attempt to inject decentralized applications (DeFi) and non-fungible token (NFT) functionalities similar to those of Ethereum.
Ordinals collaboration

BlackRock purchased over $750 million in ETH this month, Visa collaborates with African exchanges to expand stablecoin coverage, and Revolut explores the issuance of stablecoins and seeks partnerships. Nauru establishes a virtual asset management authority, and Plasma will launch a stablecoin-optimized blockchain by the end of summer. The police remind of the risks of virtual currency trading, Galaxy's CEO anticipates that stablecoin legislation will attract financial institutions, and South Korea has developed a roadmap for Bitcoin spot ETFs.

The Federal Reserve (FED) remains on hold, but the market actually "wants to cut rates".
On June 18, 2025, the Federal Reserve (FED) chose to keep interest rates unchanged at the target range of 4.25% to 4.5% during its monetary policy meeting. Everything seems calm and in line with market expectations, but don't be fooled by appearances — after this meeting, market expectations for a rate cut in September soared to 71%!
What does it mean? The Federal Reserve (FED) does not say, but the market has already "imagined" a future easing script. Against this backdrop, the Federal Reserve (FED) itself has raised its inflation forecast (to 3%) while lowering its economic growth forecast (to 1.4%), on one hand claiming there is no rush to cut interest rates, while on the other hand presenting a stance that "the economy might not be able to withstand."
Powell continued to use "fuzzy language" at the press conference: inflation is still relatively high, the economy is still uncertain, "we will closely monitor the data"—translation: they haven't figured it out either, and the market sentiment has taken the lead.

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[Chart source: AiCoin 15m Candlestick]
The upgrade of US regulations catalyzes market sentiment.
Recently, the U.S. Senate once again passed the procedural agenda motion for the "GENIUS Stablecoin Act" (supporting votes 66:32), opening an important opportunity for the issuance and regulatory framework of stablecoins, and striving for a clearer regulatory path for crypto assets. This policy push releases the signal that the "digital dollar" will receive formal recognition from the state, providing long-term support for BTC.
Candlestick pattern: Pullback confirmation, building momentum upwards
From the chart, it can be seen that the recent high is around $108,952, and the low has retraced to $103,371. This range has formed a clear sideways consolidation pattern.
Fell back from the high point on the 18th, but then stabilized near the MA10/30, showing a "pullback - bottoming - rise again" rhythm, consistent with the three-stage rising structure.
Large Fund Dynamics &

On June 18, 2025, according to a report by Politico, the U.S. Senate overwhelmingly passed the milestone "Guidance and Establishment of the American Stablecoin National Innovation Act" (GENIUS Act) with a vote of 68 in favor and 30 against the previous day. This bill, led by Republican Senator Bill Hagerty from Tennessee, is the first comprehensive regulatory reform attempt for Crypto Assets in the United States, aiming to create a clear federal regulatory framework for USD stablecoin minting.
Amid rare cooperation between the two parties and sharp accusations against the Trump family's interests, the passage of this bill not only signals the arrival of a new era of compliance for the stablecoin market but is also seen as a key step for the United States to dominate global digital asset regulations and achieve the digital extension of dollar hegemony.
Breaking Through Compromise and Accusations: The Birth of a Bill
The birth of the GEN Act

Trump threatens to assassinate Iran's Supreme Leader, Brazil advances Bitcoin reserve bill, AgriFORCE utilizes natural gas mining, Ethereum staking hits an all-time high, the Treasury Secretary states stablecoins can drop debt costs, South Korea plans to improve stablecoin regulation, Namada launches privacy services. These events have a strong impact on the crypto market.