Japanese Central Bank Intrerest Rate Frozen Rise》Officials Focus on 'How High Will the Interest Rate Go' Japanese Yen Arbitrage Trading Close Position Crisis When Will It Explode?

After the US Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates by 1 yard this morning, Japan's Central Bank Intrerest Rate resolution came out close to 11 o'clock this morning, keeping the policy Intrerest Rate unchanged at 0.25%, suspending interest rate hikes for the third time in a row, and the yen exchange rate against the US dollar then depreciated below the 155 mark, it is worth noting that the focus of the debate on Japan's Central Bank rate hike is when to raise interest rates, Shift to how high to raise rates for the discussion. (Synopsis: Japan's Central Bank does not raise interest rates to maintain 0.25% Intrerest Rate, BTC stands back $100,000) (Background supplement: The yen has been depreciating for six consecutive days!) Analysts warn: Japan's Central Bank may be forced to raise interest rates tomorrow, and the 155 mark is the tipping point) The US Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates by 1 yard this morning, but hinted that the pace of interest rate cuts will slow down next year, only 2 yards, followed by Japan's Central Bank Intrerest Rate resolution at nearly 11 o'clock this morning, with 8 votes in favor and 1 vote against, keeping the policy Intrerest Rate unchanged at 0.25%, which is the third consecutive suspension of interest rate hikes. Japan's Kyodo News Agency reported that Japan's Central Bank decided not to raise interest rates because it plans to observe the uncertain U.S. economy affected by U.S. President-elect Trump's policies, as well as the trend of salary increases in the spring 2025 labor negotiations (spring fight), Japan's Central Bank President Kazuo Ueda will hold a press conference in the afternoon to introduce the reasons for the decision. Japan's Central Bank's attitude is to discuss interest rate hikes if the economy and prices meet expectations, but given the recent pause in the historical depreciation of the yen in the forex market, the risk of a sharp upward movement in prices is low, and many opinions within Central Bank believe that there is no rush to raise interest rates at this time. After Japan's Central Bank decision, the yen took a Nosedive straight line against the US dollar, depreciating above the 155 mark and now trading at 155.23, a key level closely followed by analysts, who had warned that a break below this level could trigger verbal intervention by Japanese authorities and put more pressure on Japan's Central Bank rate hike. Yen watchers turned their attention to Kazuo Ueta's afternoon news conference on whether they would give any hints about the next rate hike, and if the yen continues to depreciate, Central Bank could face more pressure to raise rates. It is worth noting that according to Reuters, amid growing speculation about the timing of Japan's Central Bank's next rate hike, a debate is brewing within Japan's Central Bank about how much Intrerest Rate can be raised, an issue that could be discussed at this week's policy meeting, and Kazuo Ueda may elaborate in the afternoon on the bank's view of the future rate hike path. Estimates by Central Bank decision-makers show that Central Bank believes that the short-term Intrerest Rate has room to be raised to at least about 1% without affecting economic growth, although some Central Bank people point out that the recent sluggish consumption indicates that the Intrerest Rate may be lower, and the outcome of this debate is important to determine the pace of future interest rate hikes because of Japan's Central The Bank plans to raise its policy Intrerest Rate to near neutral levels in early 2027. Most analysts expect Japan's Central Bank to raise its short-term Intrerest rate from the current 0.25% in March next year, which will be an important step towards a neutral Intrerest Rate, while Kiuchi Takahide, a former commissioner of Japan's Central Bank, believes that once the Intrerest Rate is raised to 0.5%, the bank will slow down the pace of interest rate hikes. Because further interest rate hikes will bring borrowing costs closer to neutral levels. Kiuchi Takahide said Japan's Central Bank may see Japan's neutral Intrerest Rate at just under 1% and expects to raise the Intrerest Rate to 0.5% in January next year and 0.75% around September next year, while after the Intrerest Rate rises to 0.5%, Japan's Central Bank will take a more empirical approach. Closely assess the impact of each rate hike on the economy. The Japanese dollar Arbitrage difference is still a huge unexploded bomb The current market is constantly following the potential risks of the yen Arbitrage transaction, which is regarded as a huge unexploded bomb that may be detonated, as the Fed slows the pace of interest rate cuts, Japan's Central Bank is cautious about interest rate hikes, forming a clear divergence in global Intrerest Rate policies, looking forward to 2025-2026, the overall economic uncertainty is further intensified, The potential Close Position pressure on the yen Arbitrage trading could ripple through the trend of the cryptocurrency market. As a high-risk asset, the cryptocurrency market is extremely sensitive to macroeconomic changes, and once the flow of funds changes sharply, it may lead to market volatility and pose a challenge to investors, so closely following the subsequent development of the yen Arbitrage transaction and the dynamics of monetary policies in various countries will be the key to future market observation. Related Stories Why BTC Surge? Japan's Central Bank is rumored not to raise interest rates in December! The yen fell sharply to a new 3-week low Japan's Central Bank next week reported that the "tendency not to raise interest rates" yen Arbitrage trading space continues, BTC can continue to rise? Japan's economy is too strong! Experts estimate that the probability of interest rate hikes in December exceeds 50%, "If the United States falls the sunrise", be careful of the yen ArbitrageClose Position tide "Japan's Central Bank Intrerest Rate freezes" officials focus on the future "how high to raise interest rates" yen Arbitrage trading Close Position crisis when will it burst? This article was first published in BlockTempo "Dynamic Trend - The Most Influential Block Chain News Media".

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