#加密货币市场分析# This market analysis report is truly thought-provoking. The S&P 500 has been above the 20-day moving average for 68 consecutive days, setting a nearly 30-year record, which seems very promising. However, as an old sucker who has experienced multiple bull and bear cycles, I know all too well that this "peaceful era" is often the calm before the storm.

The VIX index has fallen to around 15 points, and the market seems to be in a state of false security. However, history tells us that August often marks the beginning of increased volatility. The VIX could rise by 30% in the next three months, which means significant fluctuations are on the horizon.

To those newcomers who have just entered the scene with high hopes, I want to say: don't be blinded by the current prosperity. Stay vigilant, control your positions, and keep enough cash to cope with potential severe fluctuations. Don't easily go all in, and definitely don't chase the highs out of FOMO. Remember, in this market, surviving longer is more important than earning more.

Let us stay alert and patiently wait for the real opportunity. After all, for suckers to avoid being cut, the most important thing is to survive until the end.