- Topic
6k Popularity
93k Popularity
124k Popularity
5k Popularity
2k Popularity
- Pin
- 🚀 ETH jumped to $4,600 this morning, up 8.69% in 24h!
Just shy of the $4,891 ATH—think it breaks through?
📍 Follow Gate_Square, vote and drop your reason.
🎁 4 winners split $100 Futures Voucher! - 📢 Exclusive on Gate Square — #PROVE Creative Contest# is Now Live!
CandyDrop × Succinct (PROVE) — Trade to share 200,000 PROVE 👉 https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/46469
Futures Lucky Draw Challenge: Guaranteed 1 PROVE Airdrop per User 👉 https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/46491
🎁 Endless creativity · Rewards keep coming — Post to share 300 PROVE!
📅 Event PeriodAugust 12, 2025, 04:00 – August 17, 2025, 16:00 UTC
📌 How to Participate
1.Publish original content on Gate Square related to PROVE or the above activities (minimum 100 words; any format: analysis, tutorial, creativ - 💙 Gate Square #Gate Blue Challenge# 💙
Show your limitless creativity with Gate Blue!
📅 Event Period
August 11 – 20, 2025
🎯 How to Participate
1. Post your original creation (image / video / hand-drawn art / digital work, etc.) on Gate Square, incorporating Gate’s brand blue or the Gate logo.
2. Include the hashtag #Gate Blue Challenge# in your post title or content.
3. Add a short blessing or message for Gate in your content (e.g., “Wishing Gate Exchange continued success — may the blue shine forever!”).
4. Submissions must be original and comply with community guidelines. Plagiarism or re - 🎉 The #CandyDrop Futures Challenge# is live — join now to share a 6 BTC prize pool!
📢 Post your futures trading experience on Gate Square with the event hashtag — $25 × 20 rewards are waiting!
🎁 $500 in futures trial vouchers up for grabs — 20 standout posts will win!
📅 Event Period: August 1, 2025, 15:00 – August 15, 2025, 19:00 (UTC+8)
👉 Event Link: https://www.gate.com/candy-drop/detail/BTC-98
Dare to trade. Dare to win.
2025 Bull Run Reflexivity Thinking:
①Since there was a season of altcoins in the historical Q4 (2017), the current bull run in Q4 is likely to experience fluctuations and then turn bearish.
② Historically, there has been no altcoin season in Q3, and there is no memory of this in human thinking, so the probability of an altcoin season in this Q3 is the highest.
Things to note:
People were trapped by the car at night, wishfully carving the boat in the fourth quarter of 2017, escaping the top of the altcoin season too late, and finally pinning their hopes on next year's interest rate cuts.
But the power of mean reversion is greater than anything.
The emotional aspect ranks second, only allowing for the judgment of a mid-term peak. For example, at the end of 2024, the emotional greed index is 95°, indicating a mid-term peak, but not the peak of a four-year cycle.
As for the news aspect, it's at the bottom of the list. There are too many news factors during a bull run; if there isn't this piece of news, there will be that piece of news, and expectations can also be made in advance.
The first interest rate cut had some effect, the second rebound, and the third decline.
Mean reversion (fundamentals) > sentiment > news (positive). #btc # ETH