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There is a pervasive concern in the market about an impending "plummet" in prices, but I hold a different view. Although a Depth adjustment is inevitable, it may not occur in the near future and is more likely to happen in mid-August.
The current market is exhibiting a unique phenomenon: not only cryptocurrencies, but almost all risk assets are rising in sync. Behind this broad correlation is a clear driving force: the global market is being supported by unusually abundant liquidity.
In this environment of ample funds, the market fundamentals appear to be more solid compared to the fragile conditions of the past that relied solely on news speculation. Based on this judgment, I believe the current liquidity support may drive Bitcoin to reach a level of $130,000 in August.
However, it is worth noting that a considerable number of market participants have not truly understood the nature of this bull market nourished by "liquidity lifeblood." Typically, when the general public becomes aware of this, the bull market has often entered its later stages.
Therefore, at this stage, a key investment window has formed. With the cognitive gap still present, seizing the dividend opportunities brought by this round of liquidity feast is rare. Once consensus is formed, the "last train" may have already departed.
Core viewpoint summary:
1. Market depth adjustment may occur in mid-August.
2. The current upward trend is broad and not limited to cryptocurrencies.
3. Abundant liquidity is the core factor driving the market.
4. The current market fundamentals are healthier compared to pure speculation.
5. Many investors have not yet recognized the nature of liquidity-driven.
6. The general public's perception often marks the late stage of a bull market.
7. There is currently a "cognitive gap dividend window", which is a good entry timing.
In this market environment full of opportunities and challenges, understanding the essence of liquidity-driven factors and seizing investment opportunities will be key to formulating successful investment strategies.