🚨 Beware of the deadly calm!

💹 The market is ignoring the biggest seasonal risk of the year!
Markets look prosperous and everyone expects the calm to continue in July... but is this the calm before the storm? 🌪️
The historical data of the fear index (VIX) reveals a completely different reality that may surprise many!
🤔 Analysis: What does the history of the Fear Index (VIX) reveal?
The chart illustrates the average change in the fear index ( fluctuations ) during each quarter of the year. The pattern is clear and concerning:
Q1 (: Slight increase in volatility.
Second quarter )Q2(: A period of calm and decrease in volatility.
The third quarter )Q3(: 💥 The explosion! 💥 Historically, this is the quarter that sees the biggest spike in volatility and fear in the markets!
The fourth quarter )Q4(: A return to relative calm and a decrease in volatility.
🔥 The Dangerous Paradox: Market Predictions vs. Historical Reality
Current situation: Market forecasts )SPX implied moves( indicate low volatility in July. Markets seem "frothy" and possibly "overconfident" )Frothy(.
Lurking Volatility ): We are now at the beginning of the third quarter ( Q3), which is historically the most volatile period for the markets!
The current calm may be a trap. History says that violent fluctuations may be lurking.
And is ready to appear at any moment during this quarter. 🎯