📈 Is Bitcoin About to Make a Major Move?

After simmering around $108K for a week, today’s signals are finally lining up.
Technical patterns, on-chain data, institutional flows, policy trends, and market sentiment — all in sync.
This kind of alignment has only happened a handful of times in BTC’s history.

🧠 Here’s what’s converging right now:

1️⃣ Technicals: Classic Cup & Handle Formation
The daily chart shows a textbook cup & handle setup
The “handle” is nearing breakout zone
Price above the 50/100-day moving averages = bulls gaining control
RSI & MACD trending higher = strong momentum building
2️⃣ On-Chain: Supply Crunch + Token Lock-Up
BTC exchange reserves hitting new lows = sell pressure dropping
Long-term holders increasing = less circulating supply
Active addresses rising = on-chain activity picking up
3️⃣ Capital Flows: ETF Inflows Surging
BlackRock’s ETF now holds over 700K BTC — more than 50% market share
Total net inflows into BTC ETFs nearing $50B
Institutions are quietly buying in for the long term
4️⃣ Sentiment: Fear Turning to Greed
Fear & Greed Index hits 66 = risk appetite returning
Alts pumping hard intraday = capital rotation heating up
Bullish social sentiment is 1.5x that of bearish = FOMO in early stages
5️⃣ Policy Tailwinds: Rate Cut Signals Emerge
June FOMC minutes turned dovish = rate cuts more likely this year
Trump’s next wave of economic stimulus reportedly in the works
Macros improving, and crypto often leads the reaction

🔭 What’s next?
Break above ATH at $111,900 = confirmed breakout
Measured move from cup & handle targets ~$145K
If liquidity keeps piling in, $200K becomes a mid-term possibility

📌 When technicals, fundamentals, capital, and macro policy all align,
price staying still is just a lag — not a contradiction.
Every real bull breakout starts with this kind of structure.

This time, supply, sentiment, capital, and narrative are quietly syncing.

#Bitcoin# #BTC#
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📈 比特币会不会真的准备干一波大的了？

价格在 108,000 附近闷烧一周，今天的讯号开始齐了。
技术形态、链上数据、机构动作、政策风向、资金情绪，全面同步。
这种排列，历史上只发生过几次。

🧠 来看看有哪些共振讯号正在浮现：

1️⃣ 技术面：标准杯柄型态成形中
日线走出杯柄结构，手柄部分接近突破。
价格站上 50/100 日均线，技术多头逐渐掌控节奏。
RSI、MACD 持续上行，动能转强中。
2️⃣ 链上面：供应紧缩，筹码锁定
交易所 BTC 储量持续创低，抛压减少。
长期持有者占比上升，流通筹码缩减。
活跃地址数增长，链上活性回暖。
3️⃣ 资金面：ETF 爆拉，机构不断吃货
BlackRock 单一 ETF 持仓突破 70 万颗 BTC，占比过半。
全市场比特币 ETF 净流入已接近 500 亿美金。
几乎是新一轮长期资金的买入时刻。
4️⃣ 情绪面：从恐惧转向贪婪
恐慌与贪婪指数升至 66，风险偏好回温。
山寨币日内涨幅惊人，资金轮动明显。
社群看多声量是看空的 1.5 倍，FOMO 开始发酵。
5️⃣ 政策面：美联储释出降息讯号，美元压力减缓
6 月会议纪要偏鸽，年内降息可能性升高。
川普新一轮经济刺激计划酝酿中，资产价格预期擡升。
宏观转暖，加密市场通常领先反应。

🔭 下一阶段观察位：
历史高点 111,900 若突破，将确认多头破位。
杯柄量测目标落在 145,000 美元附近。
若流动性持续堆积，有机会挑战 200,000 的中期上限。

📌 当技术、基本面、资金与政策同时共振，价格不动只是时间差的错觉。
每一轮真正的主升段，都是这样开始的。
这一次，筹码、情绪、供需与大盘宏观，正在慢慢对齐。

#比特幣# #BTC#