Stellar (XLM) price prediction: CMF money flow has rebounded, RSI has returned to the positive zone, long positions challenge the key resistance level $0.424

After two weeks of downward trend, the cross-border payment Token Stellar (XLM) has shown rebound signals. On-chain indicators show that funds are starting to flow back: the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator is rising (still in negative territory), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has returned above the 50 neutral line, releasing bullish momentum. XLM is currently priced at $0.411 and is attempting to break through the $0.424 key resistance level. If it successfully holds above, it is expected to target $0.445 and $0.470; if it fails, it may dip to $0.393 support. The recovery process of the altcoin market is under close attention.

1. Capital inflow begins to show: CMF indicator rises, but momentum still needs confirmation After experiencing two weeks of value retracement, Stellar (XLM) shows signs of recovery in its price trend, mainly due to a rebound in investment activity. The key indicator for monitoring fund flow—the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)—indicates that the inflow of XLM is gradually increasing, which is a potential positive signal.

However, caution is needed: although the CMF indicator shows an upward trend, its value is still below the zero line. This indicates that the current inflow strength is not sufficient to drive XLM to form a sustained upward trend. For the inflow of funds to have a lasting price impact, the CMF must effectively break through and hold above the zero axis. If this breakthrough can be achieved in the coming weeks, XLM may welcome a deeper rebound, and investors need to closely follow the movement of funds to confirm the continuity of momentum.

2. Technical indicators strengthen: RSI returns to positive territory, bullish momentum accumulates The technical aspects of Stellar have shown significant improvement. Its Relative Strength Index (RSI) has briefly dipped into the bearish zone but has now returned above the neutral line of 50.0, entering the positive range. This reversal clearly indicates that XLM is breaking free from the previous downtrend's suppression, and market strength is recovering.

The rebound of the RSI directly reflects the improvement in Investor Sentiment. The earlier bearish sentiment was mainly due to the overall Market Uncertainty in the crypto market and the general Skepticism. As the RSI returns to the positive zone, the probability of XLM's price moving further upwards significantly increases.

3. Key Battle: Breaking through the $0.424 resistance level determines the short-term direction As of the time of writing, the price of Stellar is trading at $0.411, approaching the key resistance level of $0.424. Successfully breaking through this resistance is crucial for XLM to recover recent losses and maintain an upward trend.

Technical patterns are releasing positive signals: the Parabolic SAR has moved below the price candles after being above them (suppressing the trend) for two consecutive weeks. This shift is a classic technical signal for the end of a downtrend.

Potential Upward Path: If XLM can effectively break through and turn $0.424 into a support level, it is expected to open up upward space, with an initial target of $0.445, and then challenge $0.470. Successfully achieving this would mean that XLM has recouped most of the fall over the past two weeks, restarting the altcoin recovery process.

Downside Risk Warning: If the overall environment of the crypto market weakens or investor sentiment deteriorates, XLM may come under pressure. If it fails to hold above $0.424 support, the price may retreat to $0.393. If bearish momentum intensifies, the risk of further dipping to $0.359 will invalidate the current bullish outlook.

Conclusion: Stellar (XLM) has shown signs of rebound after two weeks of adjustment, with CMF inflow rising and RSI returning to the positive zone providing technical support. The current bull-bear battle focuses on the struggle for the $0.424 key resistance level. If it can effectively break through and hold above, XLM is expected to initiate a phase of recovery, targeting the $0.445-$0.470 range; conversely, if it faces resistance and falls back, one should be cautious of support tests at $0.393 and even $0.359. The overall sentiment and capital flow in the crypto market will be key variables affecting Stellar's short-term trend.