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Goldman Sachs: Expects the Fed to keep the interest rate unchanged next week and to start cutting rates due to the slowdown in the job market.
On July 22, Goldman Sachs forecasted that the Fed will keep the interest rate unchanged next week and will begin to cut rates in the remaining three meetings of 2025, as the slowdown in the labor market puts pressure on policymakers. Current private sector hiring is nearing a "stall speed," with the risk of further deceleration; meanwhile, consumer spending has stagnated for six consecutive months, which is extremely rare outside of an economic recession. Goldman Sachs also expects the Fed to cut rates twice more in early 2026.